AAVE 90.04 $
rang relatif 1/25 · tier winner · 7j +21.9% · 30j +10.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:27 · ATR1h 1.07% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 89.68 | 89.82 | 89.95 | 90.09 | 90.22 |
| 1h | 89.43 | 89.69 | 89.95 | 90.21 | 90.47 |
| 4h | 88.28 | 89.03 | 90.32 | 91.07 | 92.36 |
| 1d | 85.88 | 88.66 | 91.67 | 94.45 | 97.46 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 55.7% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| macd | 30.4% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 11.9% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| vwap | 1.0% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.7% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
| bollinger | 0.3% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 71 | 82 | 57 | 86 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-30 05:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 89.95 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-06-30 05:04 |
| control | short | 93.11 | 93.55 | -9.3 | tp_trail | 2026-06-29 03:09 |
| evd | short | 90 | 92.47 | -44.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-28 21:04 |
| control | short | 81.3 | 83.36 | -21.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-25 14:29 |
| control | short | 81.5 | 81.3 | +1.4 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-25 14:24 |
| control | short | 81.25 | 81.5 | -3.2 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-25 14:19 |
| control | short | 81.23 | 81.25 | -0.9 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-25 14:14 |
| control | short | 71.21 | 73.25 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-23 08:54 |
| evd | short | 71.7 | 73.68 | -50.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-23 06:29 |
| evd | long | 75.82 | 74.02 | -50.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-22 16:24 |
| evd | long | 76.54 | 74.37 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-20 23:04 |
| evd | long | 75.59 | 73.71 | -53.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-20 15:19 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AAVE
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #15 / control #29.