AAVE 153.2 $
rang relatif 17/25 · tier neutral · 7j -11.4% · 30j +8.9%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.19% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 152.2 | 152.5 | 153 | 153.3 | 153.8 |
| 1h | 151.8 | 152.5 | 153.5 | 154.2 | 155.2 |
| 4h | 149.4 | 151.3 | 152.9 | 154.8 | 156.5 |
| 1d | 141.8 | 146.8 | 150.9 | 156 | 160.1 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 56.8% | 45 | 42 | 41 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 40.9% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| volume_breakout | 2.0% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
| vwap | 0.2% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.1% | 56 | 61 | 62 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 67 | 60 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 22:04 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 146.6 | 149.9 | -50.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 19:44 |
| evd | short | 150.4 | 152.9 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-17 16:59 |
| evd | long | 164.2 | 160.4 | -52.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 12:04 |
| control | short | 148.3 | 152.5 | -48.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 02:34 |
| evd | short | 148.3 | 152.7 | -51.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 02:34 |
| control | long | 155.7 | 151.7 | -49.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-14 17:54 |
| evd | short | 155.7 | 148.3 | +95.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-14 14:24 |
| evd | short | 157.3 | 161.9 | -51.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 02:19 |
| control | short | 153.3 | 157.4 | -49.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 153.5 | 157.6 | -48.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 00:50 |
| evd | short | 159.8 | 157.3 | +30.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 21:49 |
| evd | short | 164.9 | 159.8 | +60.6 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 13:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AAVE
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #15 / control #29.