AAVE 86.41 $
rang relatif 14/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.8% · 30j -9.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.49% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 86.29 | 86.35 | 86.46 | 86.52 | 86.63 |
| 1h | 85.71 | 86.11 | 86.48 | 86.88 | 87.25 |
| 4h | 86.04 | 86.42 | 86.83 | 87.21 | 87.62 |
| 1d | 83.18 | 84.81 | 86.66 | 88.29 | 90.14 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 56.8% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| trend_follow | 40.9% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| volume_breakout | 2.0% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
| vwap | 0.2% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.1% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 65 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 01:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 86.32 | 86.39 | -5.0 | tp_trail | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| evd | short | 86.48 | 86.32 | +3.4 | tp_trail | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| evd | short | 87.04 | 88.57 | -49.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| evd | short | 87.76 | 89.21 | -50.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-12 22:04 |
| evd | short | 88.06 | 89.59 | -50.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 21:24 |
| evd | short | 89.03 | 86.17 | +127.1 | tp_hit | 2026-08-11 13:34 |
| random_ctrl | long | 88.64 | 87.68 | -53.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 13:04 |
| evd | short | 89.97 | 89.17 | +23.4 | tp_trail | 2026-08-10 15:29 |
| evd | long | 92.7 | 91.11 | -50.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 07:24 |
| control | short | 91.67 | 92.58 | -58.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 06:49 |
| random_ctrl | short | 91.63 | 92.54 | -55.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 06:39 |
| evd | short | 88.37 | 89.86 | -52.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-06 16:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AAVE
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #15 / control #29.