ADA 0.144 $
rang relatif 19/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.0% · 30j -38.2%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:37 · ATR1h 0.878% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.1437 | 0.1438 | 0.1442 | 0.1443 | 0.1447 |
| 1h | 0.1438 | 0.1442 | 0.1445 | 0.1449 | 0.1452 |
| 4h | 0.1422 | 0.1432 | 0.1445 | 0.1455 | 0.1468 |
| 1d | 0.1383 | 0.142 | 0.1454 | 0.1491 | 0.1525 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 36.3% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| bollinger | 35.7% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| macd | 13.8% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 12.3% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
| volume_breakout | 1.4% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| vwap | 0.3% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 33 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 19:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 0.1458 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-06-29 03:34 |
| evd | short | 0.1485 | 0.1456 | +21.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-26 16:39 |
| control | short | 0.147 | 0.1448 | +18.5 | tp_trail | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| evd | short | 0.1455 | 0.1476 | -19.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-26 14:04 |
| control | short | 0.1426 | 0.147 | -50.8 | sl_hit | 2026-06-26 05:34 |
| control | short | 0.1426 | 0.1426 | -1.5 | tp_trail | 2026-06-25 15:04 |
| evd | short | 0.1426 | 0.1426 | -1.3 | tp_trail | 2026-06-25 15:04 |
| control | short | 0.1452 | 0.143 | +32.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-25 13:49 |
| control | short | 0.1457 | 0.1499 | -41.0 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-24 21:24 |
| evd | short | 0.1453 | 0.143 | +17.4 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-24 20:54 |
| evd | short | 0.14 | 0.1444 | -44.1 | sl_hit | 2026-06-24 17:29 |
| control | short | 0.1412 | 0.1454 | -51.4 | sl_hit | 2026-06-24 17:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ADA
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #4 / control #48.