ADA 0.2209 $
rang relatif 22/25 · tier neutral · 7j -12.3% · 30j -1.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.03% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.2194 | 0.2201 | 0.2206 | 0.2213 | 0.2218 |
| 1h | 0.2191 | 0.2199 | 0.2211 | 0.2219 | 0.2231 |
| 4h | 0.2181 | 0.2193 | 0.2209 | 0.2221 | 0.2237 |
| 1d | 0.2068 | 0.2139 | 0.2179 | 0.225 | 0.229 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 26.5% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 25.4% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| bollinger | 22.5% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| mean_reversion | 13.1% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
| volume_breakout | 11.9% | 34 | 22 | 48 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 0.6% | 60 | 54 | 53 | long |
| vwap | 0.0% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 52 | 39 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 22:04 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 0.212 | 0.2162 | -55.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 19:44 |
| evd | short | 0.212 | 0.2162 | -61.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 19:44 |
| control | short | 0.2131 | 0.2172 | -61.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 19:39 |
| control | short | 0.2197 | 0.2225 | -63.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-17 16:24 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.2244 | 0.2212 | +32.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| control | short | 0.2179 | 0.2255 | -61.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 13:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.2267 | 0.2267 | -2.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 14:44 |
| evd | short | 0.2267 | 0.2267 | -2.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 14:44 |
| control | short | 0.2285 | 0.2179 | +111.1 | tp_hit | 2026-10-14 14:09 |
| control | short | 0.234 | 0.2313 | +17.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-13 02:19 |
| evd | short | 0.229 | 0.2362 | -60.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| evd | short | 0.2349 | 0.2297 | +43.5 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-12 23:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ADA
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #4 / control #48.