APT 0.5399 $
rang relatif 25/25 · tier laggard · 7j -6.4% · 30j -13.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.483% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.5377 | 0.5383 | 0.5388 | 0.5394 | 0.5399 |
| 1h | 0.5369 | 0.5381 | 0.5393 | 0.5405 | 0.5417 |
| 4h | 0.5353 | 0.5374 | 0.5402 | 0.5423 | 0.5451 |
| 1d | 0.5166 | 0.5295 | 0.5449 | 0.5578 | 0.5732 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| mean_reversion | 40.1% | 50 | 55 | 55 | long |
| vwap | 35.1% | 50 | 62 | 49 | long |
| trend_follow | 15.8% | 48 | 54 | 49 | long |
| bollinger | 7.7% | 56 | 58 | 61 | long |
| macd | 0.8% | 51 | 58 | 49 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 0.3% | 45 | 49 | 40 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.2% | 49 | 48 | 46 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 38 | 29 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-10 02:39 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.5948 | 0.5886 | +26.7 | time_stop | 2026-08-05 16:34 |
| evd | short | 0.5942 | 0.5875 | +29.0 | time_stop | 2026-08-05 16:29 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.589 | 0.5977 | -53.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 12:59 |
| control | short | 0.5862 | 0.5943 | -56.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 10:44 |
| evd | short | 0.5833 | 0.5919 | -57.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 02:34 |
| control | short | 0.5739 | 0.5827 | -57.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| evd | short | 0.5739 | 0.5827 | -58.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| evd | short | 0.5635 | 0.5725 | -59.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 02:24 |
| control | short | 0.562 | 0.5709 | -58.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 02:14 |
| evd | short | 0.5796 | 0.5622 | +94.2 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 18:19 |
| control | short | 0.5728 | 0.5809 | -57.9 | sl_hit | 2026-07-30 15:09 |
| evd | short | 0.5728 | 0.5809 | -57.6 | sl_hit | 2026-07-30 15:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur APT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #9 / control #50.