APT 0.784 $
rang relatif 15/25 · tier neutral · 7j -13.1% · 30j +7.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.64% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.7739 | 0.7774 | 0.7807 | 0.7842 | 0.7875 |
| 1h | 0.7645 | 0.7732 | 0.7801 | 0.7888 | 0.7957 |
| 4h | 0.7584 | 0.7701 | 0.7786 | 0.7903 | 0.7988 |
| 1d | 0.7014 | 0.7421 | 0.7749 | 0.8156 | 0.8484 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| mean_reversion | 63.0% | 56 | 61 | 62 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 31.3% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| bollinger | 2.9% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
| vwap | 2.7% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| macd | 0.1% | 45 | 42 | 41 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 0.0% | 60 | 54 | 53 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 98 | 81 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 21:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 0.7456 | 0.7705 | -44.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 21:44 |
| evd | long | 0.8911 | 0.8924 | +0.5 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 03:14 |
| evd | long | 0.9097 | 0.8995 | -10.3 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| evd | long | 0.9608 | 0.9176 | -43.3 | sl_hit | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| evd | long | 0.8633 | 0.907 | +68.6 | tp_hit | 2026-10-10 19:34 |
| evd | long | 0.8399 | 0.8633 | +39.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-10 17:09 |
| evd | long | 0.8161 | 0.8211 | +5.1 | tp_trail | 2026-10-09 11:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.715 | 0.7476 | +38.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 16:00 |
| control | long | 0.715 | 0.7476 | +40.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 15:59 |
| evd | long | 0.715 | 0.7476 | +31.7 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 15:59 |
| control | long | 0.7744 | 0.7457 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 08:39 |
| control | long | 0.7772 | 0.7739 | -6.7 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-07 03:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur APT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #9 / control #50.