ARB 0.07564 $
rang relatif 17/25 · tier neutral · 7j -7.7% · 30j -25.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:32 · ATR1h 1.15% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.07549 | 0.07559 | 0.07576 | 0.07586 | 0.07603 |
| 1h | 0.07536 | 0.07565 | 0.07592 | 0.07621 | 0.07648 |
| 4h | 0.07495 | 0.07545 | 0.0761 | 0.0766 | 0.07725 |
| 1d | 0.07067 | 0.07371 | 0.07602 | 0.07906 | 0.08137 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 36.5% | 44 | 60 | 30 | long |
| trend_follow | 34.5% | 64 | 75 | 72 | long |
| bollinger | 24.4% | 67 | 77 | 56 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 4.2% | 19 | 31 | 21 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.4% | 37 | 32 | 50 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 27 | 88 | 56 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 20:44 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.07588 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-06-29 03:34 |
| evd | short | 0.07504 | 0.07698 | -66.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-29 03:04 |
| evd | short | 0.07457 | 0.07421 | +7.3 | tp_trail | 2026-06-27 00:59 |
| control | short | 0.07235 | 0.0752 | -49.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-26 03:54 |
| control | short | 0.07101 | 0.07323 | -49.4 | sl_hit | 2026-06-25 13:59 |
| control | short | 0.07555 | 0.07601 | -14.0 | tp_trail | 2026-06-24 16:04 |
| control | short | 0.07762 | 0.07986 | -50.2 | sl_hit | 2026-06-23 10:39 |
| evd | short | 0.08661 | 0.0839 | +77.8 | tp_hit | 2026-06-22 14:04 |
| evd | short | 0.0849 | 0.08444 | +10.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-22 01:34 |
| evd | short | 0.08484 | 0.08453 | +4.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-19 13:59 |
| evd | long | 0.08929 | 0.08722 | -53.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-15 15:54 |
| control | long | 0.08727 | 0.0869 | -11.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-15 11:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ARB
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #18 / control #31.