AVAX 6.607 $
rang relatif 3/25 · tier winner · 7j +7.0% · 30j -25.4%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:27 · ATR1h 0.857% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 6.611 | 6.619 | 6.626 | 6.634 | 6.641 |
| 1h | 6.579 | 6.603 | 6.62 | 6.644 | 6.661 |
| 4h | 6.568 | 6.596 | 6.637 | 6.665 | 6.706 |
| 1d | 6.158 | 6.416 | 6.617 | 6.875 | 7.076 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 58.6% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| trend_follow | 24.1% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 6.6% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| macd | 5.3% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 5.3% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 15 | 57 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 22:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 6.525 | 6.712 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-29 02:49 |
| evd | short | 6.138 | 6.343 | -44.8 | sl_hit | 2026-06-26 04:04 |
| control | short | 6.378 | 6.272 | +33.1 | tp_trail | 2026-06-22 12:54 |
| evd | short | 6.325 | 6.135 | +70.5 | tp_hit | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| control | short | 6.121 | 6.336 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-20 14:54 |
| evd | short | 6.084 | 6.294 | -48.8 | sl_hit | 2026-06-20 14:24 |
| evd | short | 6.211 | 6.193 | +2.3 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-20 07:34 |
| evd | short | 5.965 | 6.211 | -53.4 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-19 22:24 |
| evd | short | 5.738 | 5.958 | -49.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-19 19:14 |
| evd | short | 6.041 | 5.738 | +97.2 | tp_hit | 2026-06-19 05:04 |
| evd | short | 6.307 | 6.041 | +64.9 | tp_hit | 2026-06-19 00:49 |
| control | short | 6.982 | 6.744 | +77.3 | tp_hit | 2026-06-15 17:14 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AVAX
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #5 / control #37.