AVAX 6.566 $
rang relatif 6/25 · tier neutral · 7j +0.7% · 30j -3.3%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 1.17% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 6.565 | 6.568 | 6.572 | 6.575 | 6.579 |
| 1h | 6.548 | 6.568 | 6.581 | 6.601 | 6.614 |
| 4h | 6.517 | 6.543 | 6.585 | 6.611 | 6.653 |
| 1d | 6.289 | 6.381 | 6.437 | 6.529 | 6.585 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 52.9% | 56 | 58 | 61 | long |
| vwap | 38.4% | 50 | 62 | 49 | long |
| trend_follow | 7.1% | 48 | 54 | 49 | long |
| macd | 0.8% | 51 | 58 | 49 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.8% | 49 | 48 | 46 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 40 | 100 | 83 | 86 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 02:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 6.794 | 6.653 | -52.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-15 02:59 |
| control | short | 6.548 | 6.44 | +53.6 | tp_trail | 2026-08-13 13:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 6.317 | 6.288 | +12.3 | tp_trail | 2026-08-11 14:59 |
| control | short | 6.547 | 6.516 | +11.5 | tp_trail | 2026-08-08 01:59 |
| control | short | 6.499 | 6.597 | -55.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 13:29 |
| evd | short | 6.499 | 6.597 | -61.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 13:29 |
| evd | short | 6.578 | 6.491 | +24.6 | tp_trail | 2026-08-02 06:44 |
| control | short | 6.581 | 6.383 | +55.6 | tp_hit | 2026-08-02 06:04 |
| control | short | 6.717 | 6.51 | +143.8 | tp_hit | 2026-07-26 22:09 |
| evd | short | 6.717 | 6.51 | +156.4 | tp_hit | 2026-07-26 22:09 |
| control | short | 6.533 | 6.62 | -53.6 | sl_hit | 2026-07-22 13:44 |
| evd | short | 6.527 | 6.612 | -58.4 | sl_hit | 2026-07-22 13:39 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AVAX
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #5 / control #37.