AVAX 9.781 $
rang relatif 6/25 · tier neutral · 7j -10.9% · 30j +19.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.07% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 9.721 | 9.745 | 9.77 | 9.794 | 9.819 |
| 1h | 9.709 | 9.743 | 9.79 | 9.824 | 9.871 |
| 4h | 9.644 | 9.71 | 9.774 | 9.84 | 9.904 |
| 1d | 9.003 | 9.387 | 9.642 | 10.03 | 10.28 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 77.1% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| vwap | 22.5% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
| trend_follow | 0.3% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| macd | 0.0% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 34 | 22 | 48 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 52 | 30 | 57 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 21:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 10.46 | 10.19 | -53.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| evd | long | 10.46 | 10.35 | -23.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 19:39 |
| control | long | 10.68 | 10.43 | -53.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| evd | long | 10.68 | 10.43 | -53.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| control | long | 10.81 | 10.49 | -54.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 04:24 |
| evd | long | 10.81 | 10.49 | -58.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 04:24 |
| evd | long | 11.01 | 10.81 | -34.1 | tp_trail | 2026-10-07 09:49 |
| control | long | 11 | 10.81 | -33.2 | tp_trail | 2026-10-07 03:04 |
| control | long | 10.83 | 10.85 | +1.8 | tp_trail | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| evd | long | 10.83 | 10.85 | +1.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| control | long | 10.59 | 10.91 | +50.6 | tp_hit | 2026-10-02 19:04 |
| control | long | 10.55 | 10.49 | -11.9 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-02 18:49 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur AVAX
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #5 / control #37.