BCH 198.6 $
rang relatif 7/25 · tier neutral · 7j +1.9% · 30j -33.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:27 · ATR1h 1.01% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 198.1 | 198.4 | 199 | 199.3 | 199.9 |
| 1h | 197.9 | 198.7 | 199.2 | 200 | 200.5 |
| 4h | 196.2 | 197.8 | 199.7 | 201.3 | 203.2 |
| 1d | 183 | 192 | 197.4 | 206.5 | 211.9 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 62.7% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| trend_follow | 22.4% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| macd | 9.9% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| vwap | 1.7% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| bollinger | 1.7% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| mean_reversion | 1.7% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 69 | 70 | 86 | 98 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-28 22:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 190.6 | 194.2 | -52.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-28 17:59 |
| evd | short | 190.6 | 194.2 | -59.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-28 17:59 |
| control | short | 196.7 | 199.6 | -53.9 | sl_hit | 2026-06-21 21:44 |
| evd | short | 195.3 | 198.2 | -60.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-21 21:24 |
| control | short | 193.8 | 193.5 | +0.9 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-19 04:09 |
| evd | short | 199.2 | 193.1 | +53.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-18 20:09 |
| control | short | 203 | 193.8 | +86.5 | tp_hit | 2026-06-18 15:29 |
| control | short | 218.8 | 218.8 | -1.6 | tp_trail | 2026-06-16 11:34 |
| evd | short | 218.8 | 218.8 | -1.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-16 11:34 |
| control | long | 229.4 | 222.8 | -52.1 | sl_hit | 2026-06-15 13:54 |
| control | long | 225.1 | 227.1 | +14.3 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-15 11:49 |
| control | short | 197.9 | 202 | -53.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 18:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BCH
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #13 / control #45.