BCH 278.7 $
rang relatif 2/25 · tier winner · 7j -3.5% · 30j +8.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 0.938% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 277.5 | 277.9 | 278.5 | 278.9 | 279.4 |
| 1h | 277.4 | 278 | 279 | 279.6 | 280.6 |
| 4h | 275 | 276.8 | 278.4 | 280.2 | 281.8 |
| 1d | 258.2 | 267.1 | 272.6 | 281.6 | 287.1 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout | 26.9% | 34 | 22 | 48 | long |
| vwap | 21.7% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
| bollinger | 19.4% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 15.3% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 12.6% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| mean_reversion | 4.1% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 55 | 55 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-19 08:39 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 280.4 | 275.2 | -60.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 12:09 |
| control | long | 276.8 | 280.4 | +17.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-15 15:44 |
| random_ctrl | long | 277 | 280.4 | +17.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-15 15:10 |
| control | short | 263.5 | 268.4 | -38.0 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-15 05:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 262.5 | 268.4 | -47.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-15 02:50 |
| control | short | 267.9 | 265.9 | +14.0 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 14:49 |
| random_ctrl | long | 278.9 | 274.4 | -61.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-14 04:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 275.7 | 278.9 | +33.1 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 00:19 |
| control | short | 265.4 | 273 | -56.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 01:49 |
| control | short | 265.7 | 265.4 | +0.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 270.6 | 265.4 | +53.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 22:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 279.1 | 270.3 | +89.8 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 13:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BCH
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #13 / control #45.