BTC 6.301e+04 $
rang relatif 19/25 · tier neutral · 7j -2.9% · 30j -2.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.156% · TP cible 1.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 6.297e+04 | 6.299e+04 | 6.302e+04 | 6.304e+04 | 6.307e+04 |
| 1h | 6.288e+04 | 6.296e+04 | 6.299e+04 | 6.307e+04 | 6.31e+04 |
| 4h | 6.281e+04 | 6.29e+04 | 6.298e+04 | 6.307e+04 | 6.315e+04 |
| 1d | 6.192e+04 | 6.247e+04 | 6.303e+04 | 6.358e+04 | 6.414e+04 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 89.4% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| trend_follow | 9.2% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| vwap | 1.4% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 50 | 53 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-14 17:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 6.38e+04 | 6.437e+04 | -52.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 18:44 |
| evd | short | 6.435e+04 | 6.448e+04 | -17.1 | time_stop | 2026-08-04 18:29 |
| evd | short | 6.35e+04 | 6.394e+04 | -55.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 02:29 |
| control | short | 6.344e+04 | 6.387e+04 | -57.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 02:19 |
| control | short | 6.278e+04 | 6.34e+04 | -54.5 | sl_hit | 2026-07-31 16:09 |
| evd | short | 6.492e+04 | 6.361e+04 | +106.9 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| evd | short | 6.387e+04 | 6.453e+04 | -52.3 | sl_hit | 2026-07-28 15:29 |
| evd | short | 6.465e+04 | 6.492e+04 | -58.8 | sl_hit | 2026-07-26 14:14 |
| evd | short | 6.499e+04 | 6.387e+04 | +53.2 | time_stop | 2026-07-14 23:19 |
| control | short | 6.344e+04 | 6.406e+04 | -52.9 | sl_hit | 2026-07-14 12:39 |
| control | short | 6.237e+04 | 6.314e+04 | -53.7 | sl_hit | 2026-07-13 16:24 |
| control | long | 6.422e+04 | 6.394e+04 | -29.7 | time_stop | 2026-07-10 09:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #1 / control #39.