BTC 8.289e+04 $
rang relatif 4/25 · tier winner · 7j -2.0% · 30j +1.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 0.484% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 8.252e+04 | 8.264e+04 | 8.277e+04 | 8.289e+04 | 8.303e+04 |
| 1h | 8.233e+04 | 8.251e+04 | 8.283e+04 | 8.302e+04 | 8.334e+04 |
| 4h | 8.206e+04 | 8.238e+04 | 8.277e+04 | 8.309e+04 | 8.348e+04 |
| 1d | 8.001e+04 | 8.104e+04 | 8.166e+04 | 8.269e+04 | 8.33e+04 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 82.7% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 8.9% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
| vwap | 8.4% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 50 | 56 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-15 14:09 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 8.115e+04 | 8.218e+04 | -49.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 03:09 |
| evd | short | 8.273e+04 | 8.198e+04 | +37.2 | tp_trail | 2026-10-08 04:04 |
| control | short | 8.289e+04 | 8.198e+04 | +45.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-07 15:14 |
| control | long | 8.381e+04 | 8.287e+04 | -49.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 03:04 |
| evd | long | 8.578e+04 | 8.489e+04 | -47.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-02 07:44 |
| evd | long | 8.676e+04 | 8.578e+04 | -46.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-02 04:34 |
| control | long | 8.556e+04 | 8.476e+04 | -51.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-02 04:09 |
| evd | short | 8.274e+04 | 8.365e+04 | -50.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-28 09:09 |
| evd | short | 8.342e+04 | 8.438e+04 | -52.1 | sl_hit | 2026-09-24 09:19 |
| evd | long | 8.482e+04 | 8.367e+04 | -52.8 | sl_hit | 2026-09-23 14:19 |
| evd | long | 8.618e+04 | 8.519e+04 | -52.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-22 22:49 |
| control | long | 8.607e+04 | 8.445e+04 | -50.3 | sl_hit | 2026-09-21 15:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #1 / control #39.