BTC 5.936e+04 $
rang relatif 21/25 · tier laggard · 7j -5.9% · 30j -18.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:32 · ATR1h 0.609% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 5.926e+04 | 5.931e+04 | 5.939e+04 | 5.944e+04 | 5.952e+04 |
| 1h | 5.924e+04 | 5.935e+04 | 5.951e+04 | 5.962e+04 | 5.978e+04 |
| 4h | 5.913e+04 | 5.936e+04 | 5.981e+04 | 6.004e+04 | 6.049e+04 |
| 1d | 5.804e+04 | 5.913e+04 | 5.994e+04 | 6.104e+04 | 6.185e+04 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 51.1% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| bollinger | 24.7% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 24.2% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 50 | 53 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 13:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 6.003e+04 | 5.976e+04 | +6.7 | tp_trail | 2026-06-26 04:04 |
| control | short | 5.865e+04 | 6.043e+04 | -52.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-26 02:19 |
| evd | short | 6.107e+04 | 5.873e+04 | +80.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-24 22:04 |
| control | short | 6.115e+04 | 5.873e+04 | +82.8 | tp_hit | 2026-06-24 20:54 |
| evd | short | 6.269e+04 | 6.075e+04 | +108.9 | tp_hit | 2026-06-23 14:19 |
| evd | short | 6.254e+04 | 6.344e+04 | -54.1 | sl_hit | 2026-06-19 04:39 |
| control | short | 6.304e+04 | 6.4e+04 | -54.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-19 00:49 |
| evd | short | 6.468e+04 | 6.252e+04 | +85.3 | tp_hit | 2026-06-18 02:29 |
| evd | short | 6.524e+04 | 6.598e+04 | -53.8 | sl_hit | 2026-06-17 13:49 |
| control | long | 6.621e+04 | 6.55e+04 | -57.6 | sl_hit | 2026-06-15 12:04 |
| evd | long | 6.571e+04 | 6.715e+04 | +84.4 | tp_hit | 2026-06-15 00:14 |
| control | short | 6.241e+04 | 6.19e+04 | +21.6 | tp_trail | 2026-06-10 13:54 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur BTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #1 / control #39.