DOT 0.814 $
rang relatif 23/25 · tier laggard · 7j -11.7% · 30j -30.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:32 · ATR1h 0.921% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.8123 | 0.8137 | 0.8153 | 0.8167 | 0.8183 |
| 1h | 0.8103 | 0.8137 | 0.8163 | 0.8197 | 0.8223 |
| 4h | 0.804 | 0.81 | 0.819 | 0.825 | 0.834 |
| 1d | 0.7887 | 0.8073 | 0.8237 | 0.8423 | 0.8587 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 38.3% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| trend_follow | 26.4% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 20.3% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 15.0% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 40 | 55 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 20:04 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.829 | 0.825 | +8.0 | tp_trail | 2026-06-29 12:19 |
| evd | short | 0.811 | 0.813 | -8.0 | tp_trail | 2026-06-28 14:24 |
| evd | short | 0.809 | 0.811 | -10.3 | tp_trail | 2026-06-28 01:04 |
| evd | short | 0.833 | 0.844 | -20.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-26 04:04 |
| evd | short | 0.845 | 0.833 | +16.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-25 22:44 |
| control | short | 1.031 | 0.984 | +84.8 | tp_hit | 2026-06-17 15:54 |
| evd | short | 1.031 | 0.984 | +86.9 | tp_hit | 2026-06-17 15:54 |
| control | short | 1.029 | 1.014 | +29.1 | tp_trail | 2026-06-15 17:14 |
| evd | short | 1.029 | 1.014 | +29.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-15 17:14 |
| control | short | 0.997 | 1.018 | -52.2 | sl_hit | 2026-06-15 00:04 |
| evd | short | 0.993 | 1.014 | -53.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 23:34 |
| control | short | 0.983 | 0.952 | +74.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-13 11:19 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur DOT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #6 / control #27.