DOT 1.124 $
rang relatif 18/25 · tier neutral · 7j -11.0% · 30j -1.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.33% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.115 | 1.119 | 1.123 | 1.127 | 1.13 |
| 1h | 1.117 | 1.121 | 1.126 | 1.129 | 1.134 |
| 4h | 1.105 | 1.115 | 1.123 | 1.132 | 1.14 |
| 1d | 1.018 | 1.067 | 1.094 | 1.144 | 1.171 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 35.7% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 26.0% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| bollinger | 17.6% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| mean_reversion | 11.2% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
| vwap | 9.5% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 55 | 55 | 54 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-19 01:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 1.127 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-10-19 01:49 |
| control | short | 1.155 | 1.174 | -24.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-15 22:24 |
| evd | short | 1.081 | 1.126 | -44.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 14:44 |
| control | long | 1.105 | 1.069 | -53.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 02:49 |
| control | long | 1.173 | 1.173 | -1.3 | tp_trail | 2026-10-13 10:09 |
| evd | short | 1.145 | 1.19 | -44.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 02:04 |
| control | long | 1.235 | 1.198 | -54.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.188 | 1.242 | +54.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-09 09:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.142 | 1.197 | +46.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-09 01:59 |
| evd | short | 1.027 | 1.072 | -45.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 17:04 |
| control | long | 1.047 | 1.097 | +56.9 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 15:54 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.072 | 1.048 | -33.5 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:25 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur DOT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #6 / control #27.