DOT 0.7776 $
rang relatif 22/25 · tier neutral · 7j -6.6% · 30j -9.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.712% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.7738 | 0.7758 | 0.7767 | 0.7787 | 0.7796 |
| 1h | 0.7708 | 0.7727 | 0.7753 | 0.7772 | 0.7798 |
| 4h | 0.7608 | 0.7683 | 0.7762 | 0.7837 | 0.7916 |
| 1d | 0.7408 | 0.7527 | 0.7631 | 0.775 | 0.7854 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 34.7% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| bollinger | 20.9% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| trend_follow | 18.9% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| vwap | 17.1% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| mean_reversion | 8.4% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 33 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 04:29 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 0.7567 | 0.765 | -55.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.7971 | 0.7725 | +138.1 | tp_hit | 2026-08-12 12:39 |
| evd | short | 0.8183 | 0.809 | +36.0 | tp_trail | 2026-08-10 13:24 |
| control | short | 0.8162 | 0.809 | +31.1 | tp_trail | 2026-08-10 13:14 |
| evd | long | 0.8664 | 0.8502 | -50.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| control | short | 0.854 | 0.8356 | +60.3 | tp_hit | 2026-08-04 21:59 |
| control | short | 0.8359 | 0.8496 | -58.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 05:19 |
| evd | long | 0.8241 | 0.8358 | +35.2 | tp_trail | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| control | short | 0.8223 | 0.8372 | -58.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| control | short | 0.8098 | 0.8217 | -59.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 12:24 |
| control | short | 0.7935 | 0.807 | -60.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 07:29 |
| control | short | 0.7729 | 0.7469 | +150.7 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 17:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur DOT
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #6 / control #27.