ETH 1883 $
rang relatif 9/25 · tier neutral · 7j -1.7% · 30j -1.9%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.197% · TP cible 1.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1881 | 1881 | 1882 | 1883 | 1884 |
| 1h | 1875 | 1879 | 1881 | 1885 | 1887 |
| 4h | 1872 | 1875 | 1878 | 1881 | 1884 |
| 1d | 1851 | 1866 | 1878 | 1894 | 1906 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 75.5% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| bollinger | 12.7% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| rsi_divergence ⚠ mismatch | 6.2% | 45 | 49 | 40 | court |
| vwap | 5.6% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 48 | 57 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-14 19:19 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 1874 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1869 | 1882 | -53.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 14:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1890 | 1869 | +45.9 | time_stop | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1909 | 1896 | -54.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-12 11:04 |
| control | short | 1905 | 1918 | -51.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-12 09:34 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1893 | 1882 | -55.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| control | short | 1892 | 1904 | -54.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 11:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1872 | 1883 | -56.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 06:09 |
| evd | short | 1875 | 1897 | -48.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 15:19 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1905 | 1873 | +65.9 | tp_hit | 2026-08-10 13:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1926 | 1916 | -58.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| evd | long | 1918 | 1922 | +4.2 | time_stop | 2026-08-07 14:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur ETH
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #2 / control #44.