LINK 7.293 $
rang relatif 16/25 · tier neutral · 7j -6.2% · 30j -19.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:27 · ATR1h 0.836% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 7.291 | 7.298 | 7.305 | 7.312 | 7.319 |
| 1h | 7.245 | 7.273 | 7.292 | 7.32 | 7.339 |
| 4h | 7.19 | 7.238 | 7.316 | 7.364 | 7.442 |
| 1d | 7.022 | 7.2 | 7.349 | 7.527 | 7.676 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 39.9% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 24.5% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| rsi_divergence ⚠ mismatch | 17.2% | 19 | 31 | 21 | court |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 12.0% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
| trend_follow | 3.5% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| macd | 2.8% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 38 | 56 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 22:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 7.341 | 7.287 | +9.1 | time_stop | 2026-06-26 15:49 |
| control | short | 8.456 | 8.16 | +71.8 | tp_hit | 2026-06-15 18:34 |
| evd | short | 8.149 | 8.303 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 23:54 |
| control | short | 8.061 | 8.19 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 21:44 |
| evd | short | 8.007 | 7.948 | +12.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-08 17:29 |
| control | short | 8.058 | 8.031 | +5.1 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-08 15:04 |
| evd | short | 9.106 | 8.829 | +136.1 | tp_hit | 2026-05-31 15:49 |
| evd | long | 9.243 | 9.152 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| evd | long | 9.152 | 9.187 | +9.7 | circuit_breaker | 2026-05-30 06:09 |
| evd | long | 9.259 | 9.108 | -52.0 | sl_hit | 2026-05-30 02:59 |
| evd | short | 9.097 | 9.245 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-05-30 00:54 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LINK
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #16 / control #41.