LINK 12.2 $
rang relatif 19/25 · tier neutral · 7j -9.8% · 30j -1.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 0.994% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 12.14 | 12.16 | 12.18 | 12.2 | 12.23 |
| 1h | 12.13 | 12.16 | 12.21 | 12.24 | 12.29 |
| 4h | 12 | 12.09 | 12.18 | 12.27 | 12.35 |
| 1d | 11.3 | 11.67 | 11.88 | 12.24 | 12.45 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 89.8% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
| mean_reversion | 2.3% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
| bollinger | 2.0% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| macd | 2.0% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| trend_follow | 2.0% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 2.0% | 60 | 54 | 53 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 55 | 57 | 54 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-19 04:14 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 12.19 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-10-19 03:09 |
| evd | long | 12.69 | 12.93 | +27.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-13 01:59 |
| evd | long | 12.78 | 12.44 | -50.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 23:24 |
| random_ctrl | short | 12.91 | 12.68 | +39.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 17:54 |
| control | long | 12.98 | 12.69 | -51.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| evd | long | 13.05 | 12.77 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:29 |
| random_ctrl | long | 13.11 | 12.9 | -56.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 07:15 |
| evd | long | 13.1 | 12.87 | -56.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 07:09 |
| control | long | 13.3 | 13.02 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 21:34 |
| control | long | 13.61 | 13.3 | -52.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 04:09 |
| evd | long | 13.57 | 13.26 | -58.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 03:04 |
| evd | long | 13.79 | 13.94 | +27.0 | tp_trail | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LINK
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #16 / control #41.