LINK 9.472 $
rang relatif 1/25 · tier winner · 7j +9.5% · 30j +5.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:47 · ATR1h 1.58% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 9.404 | 9.439 | 9.456 | 9.491 | 9.508 |
| 1h | 9.243 | 9.351 | 9.408 | 9.516 | 9.573 |
| 4h | 9.14 | 9.224 | 9.304 | 9.388 | 9.468 |
| 1d | 8.605 | 8.786 | 8.901 | 9.082 | 9.197 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 53.5% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| bollinger | 41.3% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 2.5% | 45 | 49 | 40 | court |
| mean_reversion | 1.8% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
| trend_follow | 0.5% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| macd | 0.4% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 25 | 56 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 00:44 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 9.028 | 9.19 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| random_ctrl | short | 8.963 | 9.109 | -53.2 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| random_ctrl | short | 8.324 | 8.195 | +47.5 | corr_derisk | 2026-08-06 17:39 |
| control | short | 8.324 | 8.2 | +43.0 | tp_trail | 2026-08-06 17:39 |
| control | short | 8.314 | 8.291 | +6.2 | corr_derisk | 2026-08-02 10:54 |
| control | short | 8.288 | 8.379 | -38.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-08-02 04:09 |
| control | short | 8.486 | 8.229 | +101.7 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 15:04 |
| evd | short | 8.572 | 8.639 | -14.6 | time_stop | 2026-07-20 17:59 |
| control | short | 8.526 | 8.714 | -51.8 | sl_hit | 2026-07-20 15:54 |
| evd | short | 8.444 | 8.56 | -38.6 | sl_hit | 2026-07-20 00:49 |
| control | short | 8.524 | 8.257 | +86.4 | tp_hit | 2026-07-15 12:59 |
| evd | short | 8.524 | 8.257 | +65.5 | tp_hit | 2026-07-15 12:59 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LINK
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #16 / control #41.