LTC 42.51 $
rang relatif 13/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.0% · 30j -17.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:32 · ATR1h 0.682% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 42.46 | 42.5 | 42.53 | 42.57 | 42.6 |
| 1h | 42.26 | 42.39 | 42.49 | 42.62 | 42.72 |
| 4h | 41.93 | 42.19 | 42.69 | 42.95 | 43.45 |
| 1d | 41.55 | 42.36 | 42.88 | 43.69 | 44.21 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 43.0% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| trend_follow | 27.0% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 15.8% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| bollinger | 7.9% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| mean_reversion ⚠ mismatch | 6.3% | 40 | 49 | 40 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 46 | 58 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 20:44 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 41.45 | 40.18 | +95.1 | tp_hit | 2026-06-24 14:24 |
| evd | short | 42.28 | 40.83 | +108.1 | tp_hit | 2026-06-24 00:19 |
| evd | short | 43.33 | 41.84 | +125.7 | tp_hit | 2026-06-23 10:04 |
| evd | short | 43.3 | 43.99 | -58.0 | sl_hit | 2026-06-19 04:39 |
| control | short | 45.7 | 45.24 | +24.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-15 10:34 |
| evd | short | 45.7 | 45.24 | +26.1 | tp_trail | 2026-06-15 10:34 |
| evd | short | 45.11 | 45.65 | -56.4 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 23:04 |
| control | short | 44.99 | 45.56 | -53.4 | sl_hit | 2026-06-14 22:49 |
| evd | long | 44.01 | 45.11 | +115.6 | tp_hit | 2026-06-13 16:04 |
| control | short | 43.86 | 44.38 | -54.3 | sl_hit | 2026-06-13 11:14 |
| evd | short | 43.4 | 44.04 | -55.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-12 14:59 |
| control | short | 42.72 | 42.55 | +4.7 | tp_trail | 2026-06-07 22:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #12 / control #40.