LTC 59.9 $
rang relatif 13/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.6% · 30j +1.6%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 0.967% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 59.61 | 59.71 | 59.8 | 59.9 | 59.99 |
| 1h | 59.58 | 59.71 | 59.93 | 60.06 | 60.28 |
| 4h | 58.58 | 59.21 | 59.68 | 60.31 | 60.78 |
| 1d | 55.23 | 57.16 | 58.58 | 60.51 | 61.93 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 35.8% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 27.8% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| bollinger | 22.8% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| mean_reversion | 10.4% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
| vwap | 3.2% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 52 | 41 | 58 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 21:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 59.02 | 59.18 | -11.3 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 16:04 |
| evd | short | 61.18 | 60.37 | +26.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-13 02:04 |
| evd | short | 61.6 | 61.18 | +16.7 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 22:44 |
| control | long | 63.03 | 61.93 | -52.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| evd | long | 63.03 | 61.87 | -66.3 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| random_ctrl | long | 64.83 | 63.91 | -54.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| evd | short | 63.42 | 61.37 | +92.7 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 15:19 |
| control | short | 64.28 | 62.1 | +106.3 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 11:04 |
| evd | short | 65.57 | 63.42 | +111.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-07 22:04 |
| control | long | 67.73 | 66.57 | -52.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-07 03:04 |
| evd | long | 71.81 | 70.59 | -65.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-04 15:24 |
| control | long | 69.49 | 69.2 | -12.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-02 10:29 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #12 / control #40.