LTC 44.12 $
rang relatif 18/25 · tier neutral · 7j -3.7% · 30j -2.9%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.306% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 44.07 | 44.08 | 44.11 | 44.12 | 44.15 |
| 1h | 43.98 | 44.03 | 44.08 | 44.13 | 44.18 |
| 4h | 43.84 | 43.93 | 44.01 | 44.1 | 44.18 |
| 1d | 42.49 | 43.16 | 44.03 | 44.7 | 45.57 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 85.0% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| macd | 14.5% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| trend_follow | 0.3% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| vwap | 0.1% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| mean_reversion | 0.0% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 56 | 59 | 86 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-13 03:54 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 45.41 | 45.35 | -0.7 | time_stop | 2026-08-10 09:39 |
| evd | short | 45.93 | 46.38 | -66.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-07 15:44 |
| random_ctrl | short | 45.68 | 45.85 | -25.7 | time_stop | 2026-08-06 15:59 |
| evd | short | 45.25 | 45.64 | -65.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-06 12:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 45.09 | 45.55 | -55.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| control | short | 45.27 | 45.81 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| evd | short | 44.56 | 45.02 | -65.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 16:54 |
| evd | short | 45.6 | 44.18 | +127.5 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 20:44 |
| evd | short | 46.66 | 45.15 | +132.4 | tp_hit | 2026-07-27 14:39 |
| evd | short | 46.22 | 46.82 | -56.7 | sl_hit | 2026-07-23 15:19 |
| evd | short | 46.87 | 47.57 | -57.9 | sl_hit | 2026-07-21 20:59 |
| evd | long | 46.85 | 47.26 | +21.6 | tp_trail | 2026-07-18 20:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur LTC
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #12 / control #40.