NEAR 5.087 $
rang relatif 5/25 · tier winner · 7j -14.9% · 30j +33.2%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.76% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 5.003 | 5.034 | 5.062 | 5.093 | 5.121 |
| 1h | 4.996 | 5.03 | 5.083 | 5.117 | 5.17 |
| 4h | 4.946 | 5.006 | 5.07 | 5.13 | 5.194 |
| 1d | 4.451 | 4.732 | 4.898 | 5.179 | 5.345 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 64.3% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
| vwap | 24.7% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 10.8% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| macd | 0.1% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 34 | 22 | 48 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 55 | 62 | 57 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-19 08:29 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 4.707 | 4.878 | -45.3 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-18 14:39 |
| evd | long | 5.13 | 4.945 | -59.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 15:14 |
| control | long | 5.184 | 5.004 | -48.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 5.306 | 5.034 | -54.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 21:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 5.028 | 5.267 | +42.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-15 15:14 |
| evd | long | 4.768 | 4.547 | -61.7 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| control | short | 4.826 | 4.663 | +30.8 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-14 17:59 |
| control | short | 5.162 | 5.236 | -12.8 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 21:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 5.229 | 4.962 | +53.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 21:49 |
| evd | long | 5.579 | 5.376 | -54.0 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| control | long | 5.869 | 5.583 | -48.3 | sl_hit | 2026-10-11 23:34 |
| random_ctrl | long | 5.812 | 5.741 | -14.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur NEAR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #7 / control #43.