NEAR 1.863 $
rang relatif 9/25 · tier neutral · 7j -9.7% · 30j -17.0%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:37 · ATR1h 1.44% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.855 | 1.86 | 1.865 | 1.87 | 1.875 |
| 1h | 1.83 | 1.845 | 1.855 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| 4h | 1.807 | 1.828 | 1.848 | 1.869 | 1.889 |
| 1d | 1.751 | 1.808 | 1.862 | 1.919 | 1.973 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 41.4% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| bollinger | 36.4% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| macd | 15.3% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
| volume_breakout | 3.5% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| trend_follow | 3.5% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 41 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 20:44 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 1.868 | 1.862 | +4.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-29 17:09 |
| evd | short | 1.888 | 1.914 | -27.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-06-27 20:39 |
| control | short | 1.825 | 1.811 | +8.0 | tp_trail | 2026-06-26 06:29 |
| evd | short | 1.886 | 1.79 | +73.7 | tp_hit | 2026-06-25 16:14 |
| control | short | 1.84 | 1.825 | +11.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-25 13:59 |
| control | short | 1.939 | 1.84 | +111.9 | tp_hit | 2026-06-25 13:24 |
| control | short | 1.862 | 1.922 | -51.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-24 17:29 |
| control | short | 1.967 | 1.862 | +90.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-23 17:59 |
| control | short | 2.06 | 1.967 | +70.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-23 04:04 |
| control | short | 2.066 | 2.058 | +4.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-22 23:04 |
| control | long | 2.272 | 2.206 | -50.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-21 09:44 |
| evd | short | 2.226 | 2.193 | +30.1 | tp_trail | 2026-06-21 06:44 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur NEAR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #7 / control #43.