NEAR 1.634 $
rang relatif 16/25 · tier neutral · 7j +3.0% · 30j -20.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.787% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.631 | 1.632 | 1.635 | 1.636 | 1.639 |
| 1h | 1.631 | 1.633 | 1.636 | 1.638 | 1.641 |
| 4h | 1.616 | 1.626 | 1.636 | 1.646 | 1.656 |
| 1d | 1.56 | 1.599 | 1.621 | 1.66 | 1.682 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 70.1% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| vwap | 28.9% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| macd | 0.6% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| trend_follow | 0.2% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.1% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 19 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 03:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 1.64 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-08-15 00:04 |
| control | short | 1.593 | 1.617 | -49.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 13:04 |
| evd | short | 1.646 | 1.615 | +44.0 | time_stop | 2026-08-12 02:34 |
| control | short | 1.622 | 1.658 | -49.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-12 00:19 |
| control | short | 1.573 | 1.609 | -49.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 19:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.546 | 1.578 | -51.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 14:54 |
| control | short | 1.58 | 1.573 | +10.4 | tp_trail | 2026-08-11 13:04 |
| control | long | 1.654 | 1.614 | -50.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 05:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.593 | 1.626 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-07 17:19 |
| control | short | 1.611 | 1.627 | -27.5 | time_stop | 2026-08-07 16:39 |
| control | short | 1.642 | 1.628 | +19.9 | corr_derisk | 2026-08-07 06:24 |
| control | short | 1.669 | 1.642 | +37.5 | tp_trail | 2026-08-06 17:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur NEAR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #7 / control #43.