OP 0.1277 $
rang relatif 11/25 · tier neutral · 7j -12.8% · 30j +3.9%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.54% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.126 | 0.1267 | 0.1273 | 0.1279 | 0.1285 |
| 1h | 0.1245 | 0.1257 | 0.1266 | 0.1277 | 0.1286 |
| 4h | 0.1223 | 0.1246 | 0.126 | 0.1283 | 0.1297 |
| 1d | 0.113 | 0.1192 | 0.1246 | 0.1307 | 0.1361 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 51.6% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 22.6% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| vwap | 13.2% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 12.6% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 91 | 60 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 22:44 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 0.1219 | 0.1254 | -43.8 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 22:04 |
| control | short | 0.1226 | 0.1219 | +6.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-18 14:39 |
| evd | short | 0.1347 | 0.1421 | -46.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 14:59 |
| control | short | 0.1319 | 0.1383 | -43.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 14:29 |
| control | short | 0.1325 | 0.1319 | +3.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-15 14:24 |
| control | long | 0.1602 | 0.1513 | -44.1 | sl_hit | 2026-10-13 21:44 |
| control | long | 0.153 | 0.16 | +39.0 | tp_hit | 2026-10-13 20:04 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.1508 | 0.1591 | +55.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-13 18:59 |
| control | long | 0.1483 | 0.1553 | +41.0 | tp_hit | 2026-10-13 18:24 |
| evd | long | 0.1385 | 0.1346 | -47.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 12:39 |
| control | long | 0.1391 | 0.1357 | -44.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-12 11:09 |
| control | long | 0.1442 | 0.1395 | -44.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur OP
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #19 / control #33.