POL 0.07541 $
rang relatif 17/25 · tier neutral · 7j -0.1% · 30j -9.8%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.568% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.07518 | 0.07531 | 0.07537 | 0.0755 | 0.07556 |
| 1h | 0.07473 | 0.07502 | 0.07534 | 0.07563 | 0.07595 |
| 4h | 0.0746 | 0.07507 | 0.0755 | 0.07597 | 0.0764 |
| 1d | 0.07146 | 0.07315 | 0.07405 | 0.07574 | 0.07664 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger | 45.4% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| macd | 25.3% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| vwap | 12.7% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| trend_follow | 9.4% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| mean_reversion | 5.6% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
| volume_breakout | 1.7% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 23 | 55 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 01:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 0.07521 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-08-15 00:39 |
| control | short | 0.07433 | 0.07519 | -61.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.07303 | 0.07366 | -54.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.07453 | 0.07302 | +79.5 | tp_hit | 2026-08-12 13:54 |
| evd | short | 0.07651 | 0.07473 | +166.7 | tp_hit | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.07835 | 0.07734 | -52.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 12:49 |
| control | short | 0.07778 | 0.07593 | +128.0 | tp_hit | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| evd | short | 0.07778 | 0.07593 | +163.3 | tp_hit | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.07774 | 0.07704 | -54.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 06:14 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.0756 | 0.07482 | -54.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-06 09:59 |
| control | short | 0.07462 | 0.07576 | -60.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
| evd | short | 0.07462 | 0.07576 | -81.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 22:44 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur POL
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #17 / control #36.