POL 0.09272 $
rang relatif 26/25 · tier laggard · 7j -12.1% · 30j -14.7%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.04% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 0.09229 | 0.09254 | 0.09277 | 0.09302 | 0.09325 |
| 1h | 0.09238 | 0.09263 | 0.0931 | 0.09335 | 0.09382 |
| 4h | 0.09057 | 0.09172 | 0.09265 | 0.0938 | 0.09473 |
| 1d | 0.0851 | 0.08825 | 0.09075 | 0.0939 | 0.0964 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 31.6% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 25.2% | 45 | 42 | 41 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 21.7% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| vwap | 8.6% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| rsi_divergence | 8.4% | 60 | 54 | 53 | court |
| mean_reversion | 4.2% | 56 | 61 | 62 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.2% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 79 | 81 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 21:34 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 0.0947 | 0.09249 | -63.6 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| control | long | 0.0922 | 0.0964 | +92.3 | tp_hit | 2026-10-15 13:24 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.09242 | 0.09486 | -51.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-15 02:50 |
| control | long | 0.1 | 0.1046 | +71.4 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 22:49 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.1048 | 0.1052 | +8.2 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 08:59 |
| random_ctrl | long | 0.1007 | 0.09815 | -52.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-09 16:59 |
| control | short | 0.09977 | 0.09884 | +22.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-09 11:49 |
| evd | short | 0.09851 | 0.1022 | -63.3 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 20:14 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.09638 | 0.09953 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 16:00 |
| control | long | 0.09712 | 0.1002 | +55.0 | tp_hit | 2026-10-08 15:49 |
| control | long | 0.09868 | 0.09668 | -45.1 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:24 |
| control | long | 0.1003 | 0.09868 | -45.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-08 04:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur POL
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #17 / control #36.