RNDR 1.826 $
rang relatif 9/25 · tier neutral · 7j -9.2% · 30j +17.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.32% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.812 | 1.815 | 1.819 | 1.822 | 1.826 |
| 1h | 1.802 | 1.817 | 1.826 | 1.841 | 1.85 |
| 4h | 1.781 | 1.806 | 1.821 | 1.846 | 1.861 |
| 1d | 1.644 | 1.729 | 1.801 | 1.886 | 1.958 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 56.9% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 32.1% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 11.0% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
| volume_breakout | 0.0% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 100 | 80 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 19:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | long | 1.929 | 1.872 | -54.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| evd | long | 1.929 | 1.872 | -57.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| evd | long | 2.084 | 2.185 | +42.3 | tp_hit | 2026-10-13 01:19 |
| evd | long | 2.066 | 2.04 | -18.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 13:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 2.115 | 2.087 | -20.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-12 10:49 |
| control | long | 1.892 | 1.863 | -18.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:24 |
| evd | long | 1.892 | 1.863 | -20.3 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:24 |
| control | long | 1.938 | 1.892 | -31.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:19 |
| evd | long | 1.938 | 1.892 | -34.8 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-08 15:19 |
| control | long | 2.033 | 1.938 | -58.9 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-07 09:45 |
| evd | long | 2.033 | 1.938 | -64.6 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-07 09:44 |
| control | long | 2.042 | 2.033 | -6.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-07 04:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur RNDR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #20 / control #46.