RNDR 1.263 $
rang relatif 27/25 · tier laggard · 7j -3.7% · 30j -17.3%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.543% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.262 | 1.263 | 1.264 | 1.265 | 1.266 |
| 1h | 1.261 | 1.263 | 1.263 | 1.265 | 1.265 |
| 4h | 1.259 | 1.261 | 1.266 | 1.268 | 1.273 |
| 1d | 1.229 | 1.245 | 1.255 | 1.271 | 1.281 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| vwap | 49.1% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
| bollinger | 44.6% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| trend_follow | 4.8% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| volume_breakout | 1.5% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 60 | 36 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-15 05:49 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| control | short | 1.276 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-08-15 02:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.259 | 1.251 | +14.8 | time_stop | 2026-08-10 23:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.3 | 1.261 | +101.1 | tp_hit | 2026-08-09 23:34 |
| control | short | 1.332 | 1.321 | +21.3 | time_stop | 2026-08-06 05:29 |
| control | long | 1.335 | 1.318 | -54.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 15:34 |
| evd | long | 1.335 | 1.318 | -60.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 15:34 |
| evd | short | 1.372 | 1.367 | +8.7 | time_stop | 2026-08-02 02:29 |
| control | short | 1.369 | 1.387 | -54.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-02 02:14 |
| control | short | 1.387 | 1.359 | +60.0 | tp_hit | 2026-08-01 02:54 |
| evd | short | 1.387 | 1.359 | +62.6 | tp_hit | 2026-08-01 02:54 |
| control | short | 1.427 | 1.384 | +104.6 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 17:04 |
| evd | short | 1.422 | 1.376 | +113.3 | tp_hit | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur RNDR
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #20 / control #46.