TAO 197.5 $
rang relatif 2/25 · tier winner · 7j +3.1% · 30j +0.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.534% · TP cible 2% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 196.7 | 197 | 197.2 | 197.5 | 197.7 |
| 1h | 195.7 | 196.2 | 196.6 | 197.2 | 197.6 |
| 4h | 196.3 | 196.7 | 197.2 | 197.6 | 198.1 |
| 1d | 186.9 | 193.1 | 199.2 | 205.5 | 211.6 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout | 88.8% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
| trend_follow | 11.2% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| vwap | 0.1% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 68 | 54 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-14 23:39 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| nodone | short | 196.4 | 199.6 | -2.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| nodone | short | 197.4 | 200.9 | -2.1 | sl_hit | 2026-08-11 15:44 |
| control | long | 208 | 202.8 | -47.9 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 04:04 |
| control | long | 198.8 | 206.4 | +140.3 | tp_hit | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| nodone | short | 194.6 | 193.8 | +0.4 | tp_trail | 2026-08-06 09:39 |
| nodone | long | 196.4 | 196.6 | +0.0 | tp_trail | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| control | long | 196.4 | 192.8 | -48.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| evd | long | 196.4 | 196.6 | +0.7 | tp_trail | 2026-08-04 18:34 |
| control | short | 193.1 | 195.7 | -49.3 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| control | short | 189.8 | 192.6 | -48.8 | sl_hit | 2026-08-03 14:44 |
| nodone | short | 191.8 | 189.8 | +1.6 | tp_trail | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| control | short | 191.8 | 189.8 | +39.3 | tp_trail | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur TAO
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #21 / control #26.