TAO 205.7 $
rang relatif 10/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.6% · 30j -18.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:32 · ATR1h 1.04% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 204.9 | 205.3 | 206.1 | 206.5 | 207.2 |
| 1h | 204.2 | 205.3 | 206.1 | 207.2 | 207.9 |
| 4h | 201.9 | 203.9 | 206.5 | 208.5 | 211.1 |
| 1d | 197.1 | 202.7 | 206.7 | 212.3 | 216.3 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| trend_follow | 62.7% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 36.4% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| vwap | 1.0% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 73 | 44 | 55 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-29 20:14 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 205.8 | 207.2 | -19.3 | tp_trail | 2026-06-28 20:24 |
| control | short | 207.6 | 207.2 | +2.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-28 14:04 |
| evd | short | 215.3 | 221.4 | -54.2 | sl_hit | 2026-06-23 15:24 |
| control | short | 225 | 219.9 | +44.4 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-23 04:19 |
| evd | short | 225.7 | 215.3 | +86.0 | tp_hit | 2026-06-23 02:09 |
| control | long | 238.8 | 232.4 | -52.6 | sl_hit | 2026-06-21 04:39 |
| control | short | 230.7 | 229.9 | +4.9 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-20 22:04 |
| evd | short | 230.7 | 229.9 | +5.0 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-20 22:04 |
| control | short | 232.2 | 230.9 | +9.6 | tp_trail | 2026-06-20 15:24 |
| evd | short | 232.2 | 230.9 | +9.8 | tp_trail | 2026-06-20 15:24 |
| evd | short | 238.1 | 237.4 | +3.9 | tp_trail | 2026-06-18 10:29 |
| control | short | 242.9 | 231.8 | +58.9 | tp_hit | 2026-06-17 21:49 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur TAO
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #21 / control #26.