TAO 274.3 $
rang relatif 8/25 · tier neutral · 7j -8.4% · 30j +8.1%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 1.2% · TP cible 4.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 272.1 | 273 | 273.5 | 274.5 | 275 |
| 1h | 272.1 | 273 | 274.4 | 275.2 | 276.7 |
| 4h | 269.3 | 271.5 | 273.7 | 276 | 278.1 |
| 1d | 247.4 | 258.9 | 265.6 | 277.1 | 283.7 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 49.5% | 34 | 22 | 48 | court |
| vwap | 16.8% | 70 | 55 | 73 | court |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 16.8% | 42 | 39 | 43 | court |
| bollinger ⚠ mismatch | 16.8% | 50 | 43 | 47 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 48 | 72 | 61 | 62 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-18 21:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| nodone | short | 254.6 | 261 | -2.0 | sl_hit | 2026-10-18 19:44 |
| control | long | 285.7 | 278.7 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-16 04:04 |
| nodone | short | 260.4 | 262 | -0.4 | circuit_breaker | 2026-10-15 02:29 |
| nodone | short | 285.4 | 281.1 | +1.0 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| evd | short | 285.4 | 278.6 | +45.5 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| control | long | 291.7 | 301.5 | +78.0 | tp_hit | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| nodone | long | 290.4 | 291.7 | +0.3 | tp_trail | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| control | long | 290.5 | 291.7 | +8.6 | tp_trail | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| evd | long | 290.5 | 291.7 | +9.4 | tp_trail | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| control | long | 285.9 | 281.2 | -52.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-10 19:04 |
| control | short | 255.9 | 269.7 | -51.4 | sl_hit | 2026-10-08 17:54 |
| control | short | 265.9 | 255.5 | +43.2 | corr_derisk | 2026-10-08 15:54 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur TAO
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #21 / control #26.