TON 1.59 $
rang relatif 8/25 · tier neutral · 7j -6.3% · 30j -12.5%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-06-30 05:37 · ATR1h 0% · TP cible 1.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| 1h | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| 4h | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| 1d | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| volume_breakout ⚠ mismatch | 42.4% | 37 | 32 | 50 | court |
| bollinger | 26.0% | 67 | 77 | 56 | court |
| vwap ⚠ mismatch | 22.3% | 44 | 60 | 30 | court |
| trend_follow | 7.5% | 64 | 75 | 72 | court |
| macd | 1.8% | 46 | 63 | 50 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 67 | 65 | 57 | 54 | 60 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-06-23 08:59 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| evd | short | 1.716 | 1.684 | +32.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-22 19:24 |
| control | long | 1.654 | 1.712 | +104.7 | tp_hit | 2026-06-21 06:59 |
| evd | long | 1.654 | 1.712 | +91.6 | tp_hit | 2026-06-21 06:59 |
| evd | short | 1.618 | 1.683 | -46.6 | sl_hit | 2026-06-17 19:49 |
| evd | short | 1.664 | 1.66 | +2.5 | tp_trail | 2026-06-16 20:49 |
| control | short | 1.66 | 1.664 | -6.0 | tp_trail | 2026-06-16 13:39 |
| evd | short | 1.66 | 1.664 | -5.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-16 13:39 |
| evd | long | 1.786 | 1.737 | -50.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-15 04:04 |
| evd | long | 1.745 | 1.698 | -52.5 | sl_hit | 2026-06-13 18:19 |
| evd | short | 1.657 | 1.706 | -52.7 | sl_hit | 2026-06-11 18:09 |
| evd | short | 1.663 | 1.638 | +28.0 | corr_derisk | 2026-06-10 08:04 |
| control | long | 1.766 | 1.759 | -7.4 | tp_trail | 2026-06-08 16:09 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur TON
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #10 / control #47.