XRP 1.316 $
rang relatif 21/25 · tier neutral · 7j -7.3% · 30j -6.4%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-10-19 08:42 · ATR1h 0.798% · TP cible 3% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1.309 | 1.312 | 1.314 | 1.317 | 1.319 |
| 1h | 1.307 | 1.31 | 1.316 | 1.319 | 1.324 |
| 4h | 1.301 | 1.307 | 1.314 | 1.32 | 1.327 |
| 1d | 1.236 | 1.271 | 1.29 | 1.326 | 1.345 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd ⚠ mismatch | 51.4% | 45 | 42 | 41 | long |
| trend_follow ⚠ mismatch | 22.9% | 42 | 39 | 43 | long |
| volume_breakout | 20.5% | 34 | 22 | 48 | long |
| mean_reversion | 5.1% | 56 | 61 | 62 | long |
| rsi_divergence | 0.2% | 60 | 54 | 53 | long |
| vwap | 0.0% | 70 | 55 | 73 | long |
| bollinger | 0.0% | 50 | 43 | 47 | long |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 55 | 54 | 54 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-10-19 08:39 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | long | 1.312 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-10-19 03:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.308 | 1.293 | +37.0 | tp_trail | 2026-10-16 15:59 |
| evd | short | 1.314 | 1.293 | +53.9 | tp_trail | 2026-10-16 15:29 |
| control | long | 1.305 | 1.346 | +57.9 | tp_hit | 2026-10-15 10:49 |
| control | long | 1.328 | 1.303 | -50.9 | sl_hit | 2026-10-14 16:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.33 | 1.324 | +10.8 | tp_trail | 2026-10-14 14:44 |
| evd | short | 1.335 | 1.292 | +92.9 | tp_hit | 2026-10-14 14:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.36 | 1.352 | +16.1 | tp_trail | 2026-10-12 18:19 |
| evd | short | 1.392 | 1.35 | +103.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 12:49 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.402 | 1.36 | +128.5 | tp_hit | 2026-10-12 12:19 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.401 | 1.409 | -68.2 | sl_hit | 2026-10-11 00:09 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.399 | 1.378 | -61.5 | sl_hit | 2026-10-09 12:05 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur XRP
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #11 / control #38.