XRP 1.002 $
rang relatif 21/25 · tier neutral · 7j -2.1% · 30j -10.2%
Régime par timeframe (Kaufman ER)
source : context_state @ 2026-08-15 13:42 · ATR1h 0.282% · TP cible 1.5% · trend_aligned=False
Support / Résistance par timeframe — pivots planchers
| TF | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 |
|---|
| 15m | 1 | 1.001 | 1.002 | 1.002 | 1.003 |
| 1h | 0.9998 | 1.001 | 1.002 | 1.003 | 1.004 |
| 4h | 0.9987 | 1 | 1.002 | 1.003 | 1.005 |
| 1d | 0.9697 | 0.9842 | 0.999 | 1.014 | 1.028 |
calculé : P=(H+L+C)/3, R1=2P−L, S1=2P−H, R2=P+(H−L), S2=P−(H−L) — sur la dernière bougie CLÔTURÉE de chaque tf (market_ohlcv/binance). Pas de niveau deviné.
Matrice substrat × stratégie (bot evd)
| substrat | poids | cote W | SH | RG | signal |
|---|
| macd | 67.8% | 51 | 58 | 49 | court |
| mean_reversion | 10.8% | 50 | 55 | 55 | court |
| trend_follow | 9.4% | 48 | 54 | 49 | court |
| volume_breakout | 6.0% | 49 | 48 | 46 | court |
| bollinger | 4.0% | 56 | 58 | 61 | court |
| vwap | 1.9% | 50 | 62 | 49 | court |
poids = bots.adn_tactical (evd) · cotes = substrat_scores (forward-return live, 0–100, 50=neutre) · ⚠ = poids ≥5% sur un substrat faible dans le régime/sens courant.
Posture du bot (dernier verdict — pas un oracle)
| macro | écosyst. | adn | technique | risque |
|---|
| 63 | 55 | 53 | 74 | 75 |
source : verdicts @ 2026-08-14 23:24 (tribunal interne ; macro=btc_trend+macro_metrics, écosyst=cross_sectional, technique=OHLCV/substrats).
Journal achat / vente (net des coûts BreakoutProp)
| lane | sens | entrée | sortie | P&L | motif | date |
|---|
| random_ctrl | short | 1.003 | — | — | OPEN | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| random_ctrl | short | 0.9995 | 1.009 | -53.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| control | short | 1.025 | 1.004 | +94.0 | tp_hit | 2026-08-12 09:29 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.009 | 1.021 | -54.4 | sl_hit | 2026-08-10 22:39 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.03 | 1.009 | +67.5 | tp_hit | 2026-08-10 09:59 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.029 | 1.038 | -54.5 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 23:34 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.032 | 1.04 | -56.0 | sl_hit | 2026-08-09 08:54 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.049 | 1.017 | +127.8 | tp_hit | 2026-08-06 02:14 |
| random_ctrl | long | 1.065 | 1.054 | -53.7 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| random_ctrl | short | 1.06 | 1.069 | -55.6 | sl_hit | 2026-08-05 11:16 |
| control | short | 1.082 | 1.075 | +25.2 | time_stop | 2026-08-02 06:14 |
| control | short | 1.08 | 1.083 | -11.8 | time_stop | 2026-07-29 05:04 |
source : trades (join bots) · P&L net depuis le fix coûts du 11/06.
evd vs control sur XRP
capital_fictif (base 5000 au fork) — bots evd #11 / control #38.